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Grimsby Town chairman feels ‘underlying performances’ good enough to see Mariners climb table

Grimsby Town chairman Jason Stockwood believes there is enough quality in the squad to push up the table based on the “underlying performances”.

That was essentially the same view that Paul Hurst took regarding the start of the season for the Mariners, who ultimately made the decision to let him go with just three wins from their 16 league games so far.

Stockwood revealed that the club’s hierarchy have been assessing the data in recent weeks with results not going the team’s way, which ultimately led them to their decision to sack Hurst, but it seems he agreed with the departing manager that the team had not had luck on their side.

“We’ve looked at data and performances over six weeks so it’s not a snap decision,” said Stockwood. “We’ve been talking at length for the past two weeks in particular.

“The performances haven’t been bad but there’s something which isn’t in the data which tells us that we’re not getting the rub of the green, so we feel like it’s time to turn the page.

“The underlying performances are not that bad, but actually that doesn’t equate to positioning in the league. We’re in a challenging position. I feel confident we’ve got the right players in the team and enough quality but there’s something not quite working.

READ MORE: Grimsby Town announce interim coaching team after departure of Paul Hurst and Chris Doig

“There has to come a point where you go ‘We need to change our own luck somehow, we can’t just hope for the luck to change itself.”

The current xG stats from open play both for and against Town do place them slightly higher than where they are currently sat in the League Two table, but, as Stockwood said himself, the ‘trend’ of poor results went on a little too long for it to be a bad coincidence.

Grimsby have exercised a level of control in a lot of games this season, being in the top half of the league for average possession statistics this term, but they have not been effective in converting the time with the ball into chances and goals.

Town have often had to go direct to create chances, having only completed ten or more passes in the lead-up to a shot or goal three times in 16 games, which is the joint-lowest return with Sutton United.

The Mariners need to regain their confidence in going forward with the ball without relying on chance which is often the case when you rely on a route one style of attacking, hoping to win knockdowns and that the ball bounces your way.

Town have continued to be an effective pressing team judging by the numbers, but only two of the 135 high turnovers this season have led to goals, which suggests a lack of composure or quality when the team win the ball in the attacking third.

Overall, there are elements of the underlying numbers that suggest the team have been unlucky, but it is clear that their on-the-ball approach needs a revamp and they also need to become more efficient with their play when they enforce a high press.

It is likely that Stockwood and the team around him helping to find the next person to lead the team will reference the numbers to potential appointments to see who can address the specific issues that are hurting the team effectively, as that will be the key to turning things around.

Original story at https://www.grimsbytelegraph.co.uk/sport/

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